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Trade Date: 10/20/2014 Commentary (delayed until 10.20 AM ET)
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ZN R1-R4: 127-24-127-26, 127-27-127-28, 127-30-128-00, 128-04-128-08

ZN S1-S4: 127-15-127-165, 127-11-127-13, 127-075-127-08, 127-00-127-04

ZN/ZB Comments: Well it’s another Monday morning w/little in the way of news round the globe nor domestically to move the mkts. It is also a low news week too. The mkt will dependent upon surprise news or big moves in equities, IMO. The lack of news this morning usually yields a trading range mkt. If this is the case this morning, we should see sellers at 127-28/128-00 and buyers at 127-12/16. Will plan on trading the range given a stable stk mkt. Really down to the direction of the ES this AM. I think the ES can sell this morning and have an up bias in the financials until the direction of the ES is known. First buy is 127-13/17 followed by 127-05/09. Plan on an exit at 127-27/31. First sell is 127-27/31 followed by 128-03/07. Plan on a cover at 127-17 OB.

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ZB R1-R4: 143-04-143-08, 143-11-143-13, 143-17-143-20, 143-24-143-28

ZB S1-S4: 142-28-142-29, 142-20-142-23, 142-14-142-16, 142-05-142-11



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ES R1-R4: 1880-1882, 1885-1887, 1889-1894, -

ES S1-S4: 1870-1872, 1865-1867, 1860-1862, -

ES Comments: Was Friday’s rally driven by options expiration that forced the shorts to cover? Or was it driven by the ECB’s informal announcement that the ECB will begin to purchase EU sovereign debt within days. If the mkt sells today, then options driven short covering rallied Friday’s mkt. If the buying continues this AM, then the start of the ECB’s 1st QE program was the basis of the rally. Should know this AM. Given the lack of news one would normally expect a pause day. The biggest news event this week should be the official start of the ECB’s note/bond purchase program. They will need to do something given today’s sell off in the EU/UK w/forecasts for little economic growth in 2015. When the ECB makes its move the ES could spike higher off of news algo buying. See a trading range mkt developing this AM w/a down bias to get started. Best resistance is at 1885/90 and support is at 1860/65 or 1865/70. Will play for the lower edge to get started, but may have to raise our buying targets early in the session. First sell is 1884/86 followed by 1889/91. Plan on a cover at 1867 OB. First buy is 1865/67 followed by 1860/62,. Plan on an exit at 1884 OB.

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