CN Futures Trading Services

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Trade Date: 2/11/2016 Commentary (delayed until 10.20 AM ET)
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ZN R1-R4: 132-275-132-295, 133-00-133-00, 133-04-133-08, 133-12-133-16

ZN S1-S4: 132-185-132-20, 132-12-132-15, 132-08-132-095, 132-00-132-04

ZN/ZB Comments: OVN crude has crashed, equities round the globe are lower, the dollar is selling and Treasuries/gold are higher. The “flight to quality” dynamic drove the trading OVN and is likely to do so this morning. It looks like the ES is headed for stops below 1800, as predicted. If this scenario is so, Treasuries should hold these new levels. The only buyer of equities this morning that I can see is the Fed. The Plunge Protection Team should be on the sidelines awaiting orders from the Fed. The pressure on the banking system increases w/every drop in the price of crude and commodities. Central banks, the IMF and World Bank will be taxed more to step in and fund/guarantee the banking system and perhaps certain non-banking companies. Volatility should increase this AM w/the “flight to quality” driving the early trading until the Fed steps into the mkts. Little economic news OVN nor this morning. Down to the direction of crude/ES, IMO. Today’s news: Jobless Claims is expected at 281 K, N Gas Inventories at -82 BCF, Yellen’s Senate testimony and the 30 Y auction. Like the long side of the mkt first this morning. If the OVN session high holds or if the ES rallies, can trade from the sht side of the mkt. Resistance starts at 132-255/295 and support at 132-14/18. First buy is 132-17/21 followed by 132-05/09. Exit at 132-28 OB. First sell is 132-29/133-01 followed by 133-07/11. Cover at 132-17 OB.

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ZB R1-R4: 170-06-170-09, 170-12-170-15, 170-20-170-20, 170-24-17-28

ZB S1-S4: 169-26-169-28, 169-18-169-22, 169-10-169-13, 168-31-169-05



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ES R1-R4: 1818-1822, 1825-1828, 1832-1839, -

ES S1-S4: 1803-1808, 1795-1800, 1785-1790, -

ES Comments: Crude dumped OVN taking equity mkts round the globe lower too. The pressure on equity mkts, commodity producers and the banking systems round the globe is increasing. Bankruptcies or government back bailouts are coming as many of these companies are “too big” to fail w/out taking their banks w/them. This has been the way governments have responded to crashes since the 1970’s. Little news OVN nor scheduled for this morning. Biggest news event this AM will be Yellen’s testimony. The only support I can see for equities this AM is the Fed/Plunge Protection Team(PPT). The pattern associated w/PPT intervention has been buying every down tick until the last seller has sold. Short covering and sht term buying then takes the mkts higher. Sht covering rallies in the ES are usually 30-40 points and they do discourage large scale selling for those w/out very deep pockets. Down to what happens in crude and w/the PPT early in the session. Today’s news: Jobless Claims is expected at 281 K, N Gas Inventories at -82 BCF, Yellen’s Senate testimony and the 30 Y auction. I like the sht side of the mkt first this AM in a play for stops below 1800. Resistance begins at 1818/22 and support is at 1803/08 as the mkt opens this AM. IF the mkt can’t take out 1800/03, can trade from the long side of the mkt. First sell 1891/24 followed by 1829/34. Cover at 1800/05. First buy is 1800/05 followed by 1785/990. Exit at 1818 OB.

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