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Trade Date: 9/20/2014 Commentary (delayed until 10.20 AM ET)
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ZN R1-R4: 123-26-123-28, 123-205-124-01, 124-03-124-05, 124-08-124-115

ZN S1-S4: 123-19-123-21, 123-16-123-17, 123-12-123-13, 123-035-123-08

ZN/ZB Comments: Scotland voted to stay as it is/was and is still a part of Britain/UK. The status quo has been preserved and things will be the same/as we know them. Buy stks and that is what the world did OVN. The ES made new contract highs. The stage is set for a squeeze today in the indexes as quad witching hour is again upon us. No major news out OVN past the vote in Scotland. Today’s news is limited to LEI which rarely plays in our mkts given the interest rate and utility components. Down to what happens in our equity mkts, IMO. Today’s news: LEI is expected at +.4%. Think the mkt is still in a longer term sell mode, but do see some EOW sht covering in the Globex session. And this buying started in London too. Think the mkt will retest resistance at 123-305/124-04 and that it will hold. Want to sell failure to take out 123-305/124-04 this AM. Will look for some help from the ES too. IF the ES sells this morning, I think the financials will see more buying, but not break out. If 123-20/24 holds as support, can trade from the long side. First sell is 123-29/124-01 followed by 124-03/07. Plan on a cover at 123-24 OB. First buy is 123-20/24 followed by 123-13/17. Plan on an exit at 123-29 OB.

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ZB R1-R4: 136-00-136-01, 136-04-136-07, 136-10-136-12, 136-18-136-23

ZB S1-S4: 135-22-135-26, 135-17-135-19, 135-11-135-13, 135-04-135-07



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ES R1-R4: 2012-201450, 2018-2020, 2023-2025, -

ES S1-S4: 2005-2007, 2000-2002, 1995-1997, -

ES Comments: Scotland voted to stay in the UK and maintain the status quo and the world reacted by buying equities. The world’s central bank support for the equity mkts will continue as is. G-20 will continue to borrow to spend. Interest rates at least in the EU will stay low into 2015 or longer. The world is has it has been. Buying stks under these conditions has proven rewarding since 3/2009. So the buy into weakness/hold long strategy is still intact. Today is also quad witching hour and the conditions are right for a sht squeeze. Little in the way of news to drive the mkts this morning. Think expiration dynamics and buying momentum are what will drive today’s mkts. Today’s news: LEI is expected at +.4% and shouldn’t be a factor. While there could be some selling off the opening from light profit taking, I expect that by the end of the day the mkt will close on another new high. Want to buy into weakness in anticipation of such. First buy is 2005/07 followed by 2000/02. Plan on an exit at 2012 OB. OK to sell failure to take out 2012/1450 or sell #2 at 2019/21. Plan on a cover at 2007 OB.

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